Currently, we have four legislative districts in Canyon County. District 10 is most of Caldwell, District 12 is north Nampa, District 13 is south Nampa, and District 11 is most of the rest of the county. Each legislative district elects three legislators every two years – two State Representatives and one State Senator. So, that’s twelve Canyon County legislative seats that are up for election in 2020.
We are actively recruiting candidates for 2020 in all four Canyon districts. At this week’s Canyon County Democrats meeting, we identified three people who are planning to file to run for the legislature this year: Chelsea Goana-Lincoln in District 10 and Pat Day Hartwell and Chelle Gluch in District 12.
If you have ever thought about running for the legislature, now is the time. 2020 is shaping up to be a big year. A lot of voters are getting interested in volunteering and they can help you get elected and make a difference in our state.
And you can win. I know Democrats haven’t won here in awhile, but there are indications that is changing.
Caldwell’s District 10 is a particularly promising place for a Democratic victory. The district is divided into 14 precincts, numbered from 7 to 20, with boundaries roughly from Farmway to Midland and Hwy 44 to Homedale. According to the Secretary of State’s website, District 10 has 18,888 registered voters.
In 2018, Proposition 2, the initiative to expand Medicaid in Idaho, received 62.7% of the vote in District 10, winning in 13 out of its 14 precincts. Admittedly, this victory does not correlate directly to Democratic success. Proposition 2 had supporters from both parties. Democratic candidates and lawmakers backed the measure overwhelmingly while Republicans were divided. Outgoing Republican Governor Butch Otter supported Proposition 2 but current Governor Brad Little did not. And once the measure passed statewide, Republican legislators pushed back hard during the 2019 legislative session by voting for several limits (aka sideboards) to Medicaid’s expansion.
Even if a ballot measure with only Democratic support were to win in District 10, it wouldn’t indicate that Democratic candidates could also win. Ballot measures that champion Democratic causes get more votes than Demoratic candidates. In the same election that voters voted for Medicaid expansion they voted for candidates who opposed it. This happened all across the state.
The good news is that some Democratic candidates also did well in District 10 in 2018. Cindy Wilson, candidate for State Superintendent of Public Instruction, won 49.3% of the D10 vote.
Let me say that again – a Democratic candidate won 49.3% of the vote in District 10.
This is a candidate who is not from here, does not live here, and did not do a lot of voter outreach here, and yet she almost won here. Let that sink in.
Wilson got over 50% of the vote in 7 of the 14 precincts in District 10.
If Wilson could do that well, imagine what a candidate who lives here and actively campaigns here could do.
Districts 12 and 13 have 2018 results nearly as good as District 10’s and District 11, has been showing continuous improvements.
If you’ve been thinking about running for the legislature, now is the time. The sooner you get started with your campaign plan and your voter outreach the better.
If you are worried that you have no idea what running for legislature would take, write us at CanyonCountyDems@gmail.com. We’ll talk to you about what you need to do and about the support we can provide with fundraising, campaign planning, recruiting volunteers, and voter outreach.
The filing deadline for legislative candidates is March 13th, but you do not need to wait until then to get started.
We are looking forward to hearing from you. That email again: CanyonCountyDems@gmail.com.